Prediction time: will the markets crash during the election, before Christmas, or in the new year? ( conspiracy )

submitted by WhyNoDonuts

Will the halvening of the DOW be an election issue? Will it be triggered by the Fed? Markets are hanging off the edge of a cliff and it's September so put your bets down.

Personally, I'm keeping an eye on Asian bonds. I have full confidence in market managers' ability to carry out a crash once it starts, but there is often a trigger that seems artificial. Where will the cracks start to allow water out of the dam first?

Beta_Ray_Bill

I dunno, people have been screaming gloom and doom since 2016 and the skies have been clear so far.

performance

Slaves predict. Kings react.

WhyNoDonuts

Right, so what are you saying, specifically? My understanding of the world is the exact opposite. Kings plan, and make decisions long before plebes even hear about what's happening, and they're the ones left reacting to the king's early moves. Before someone can react to something, wouldn't they be predicting what happens first and then reacting accordingly?

performance

You started this thread with a fanciful question that no one can answer. My point is that prediction is a fool's game. You can't control for the myriad of factors in the financial markets nor can you control them in any way so why bother predicting? The smart investor has rock-solid rules that simply respond to market moves.

theshopper

Look for a crash in the fourth quarter of 2019.

clamhurt_legbeard

No.

IndigoEyes

Watch the emerging market currency ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tCeoAQSFHy8

Unreasonable

I think emerging markets contagion that spreads. The Lira could take down European markets. I think combo with yuan devaluing and China getting ass-blasted by the tariffs. Of course it will take out the multi-national conglomerates, i.e. Nike, Apple, FB, Google... but leave US Based companies in tact, and most importantly US Agriculture. It'll be painful to the US, but not deadly. Deadly to China, Europe and the middle east though.

Funny how US in the last few years has become a net exporter of food and gas. Looks like Trump got the US prepared to weather the storm.